Coral Reef Watch Experimental Coral Disease Outbreak Risk Maps

NOAA Coral Reef Watch is conducting research and development on a new product that estimates the risk of an outbreak of coral disease. The Coral Disease Outbreak Risk is a regional experimental product, currently serving data for the Great Barrier Reef and the Hawaiian archipelago. The risk is assessed using metrics developed for the coldest and warmest times of year. These are combined to provide a Winter Pre-Conditioning metric, issued at the end of the cold season for each region; and Current Summer Outbreak Risk, that is updated in near real-time during the hot season for each region.

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